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October 22, 2019

First Defense: Strong Wind Gusts Tonight With A Soaking Rain Tuesday

JAMESTOWN – After a sunny and mild start to the week, a strong Cold front moving through overnight will produce the potential for strong wind gusts and a rather wet Tuesday with some moderate to heavy rain at times. 

The National Weather Service has issued a Wind Advisory for Chautauqua County, going into effect 8 p.m. tonight and running through 8 a.m Tuesday morning.

There is also a Wind Advisory for the northern section of Erie County, PA, effective 8 p.m tonight until 6 a.m Tuesday.

An absolutely beautiful afternoon is on tap for today. Mostly sunny skies with highs in the mid to upper 60’s. Some spots may flirt with 70 before the afternoon is done and over with.

Winds will shift south-southwest and pick up through the evening. Average wind speeds will range 25 to 35 MPH at its peak with gusts near or just above 50 MPH, with the overall strongest winds confined mainly to the Lake Erie shoreline communities.

Winds will start to settle down through the day on Tuesday, coming down to 15 to 25 through the afternoon.

Scattered showers will advance from west to east across the region tonight ahead of the front, becoming more numerous and widespread through the overnight. Rain will continue in widespread nature early on Tuesday with possibly some pockets of moderate to heavy rainfall at times before becoming more scattered in the afternoon. Highs before the frontal passage 57 to 64.

In terms of rainfall, model guidance suggests most areas around the region will pick up around a half to three quarters of an inch of rain. That is a good soaking for a 24 hour rain estimation but not enough to cause concerns in regard to flooding.

Rain tapers overnight on Tuesday with possibly a leftover shower or two Wednesday morning, otherwise becoming partly sunny and cooler with highs in the Lower 50’s.

Looking ahead to the weekend, Saturday will likely be the best day out of the two with party sunny skies with highs in the lower 50’s. There will be the chance for a few scattered showers on Sunday with highs also in the lower 50’s.

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