WASHINGTON, D.C. – After a draft decision from the Supreme Court which would strike down Roe v. Wade, a nearly 50-year ruling which allows for abortions in the U.S. was released, political analysts said the decision could have an impact on our upcoming elections.
“I think where we’ll probably see it have an impact will be more on the primaries than the general election because we see a smaller segment of the population turnout for the primaries which means it’s usually the polar extremes of each party and for those parts of each party, this is a higher priority for those voters,” said Todd Belt, the Political Management program director at George Washington University.
Even though the issue of abortion is a divided issue, analysts said it’s not a top priority among voters.
“The highest priority item is always the economy and of course it’s important this year with the problems of inflation,” said Belt. “People are also rating crime as a very important problem this year so it remains to be seen if abortion can vault those issues that are really more lifestyle issues people deal with more on a daily basis.”
So does the release of this draft decision help one party more for the upcoming elections? Analysts said it’s hard to tell at this point until that final ruling is released.
“Generally what happens is the side that has something to lose and has more anxiety and more worry from their voters and then they’re able to use that to generate more interest and more voter turnout and because of that, that would shift to the democrats because the republicans are like the dog that finally caught the car,” said Belt. “They’ve been using abortion for decades to rally their supporters but if Roe v. Wade does get overturned then that means that they’ve achieved their goal and sometimes when that goal is achieved, they don’t see the need to turn out quite as much.”
Political analysts also add that the draft release has had an impact on fundraising for political campaigns and predict they’ll start to see more money put into U.S. Senate races in battleground states because the Senate confirms federal judges.